Daily COVID Numbers Continue to Decline in Michigan

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 56,014 on May 28, an increase of 406 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 561 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 406 cases 128 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases, Southeastern Michigan accounted for 32 percent of them. These numbers again show that majority of the new cases being reported in Michigan are coming from outside of Southeastern Michigan. In Chart 1 we show that the State total for number of COVID cases on May 26 was 55,257. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan continued to level off for the counties in the region. On May 26 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,804, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 9,110. On May 26, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,244, and Macomb County reported 6,537.

The City of Detroit had 1,621 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 28, an increase from 1,616 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 31 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,903. Wayne County reported 850 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 658 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 9,156 total cases for Wayne and for 8,281 Oakland. Macomb County reported 754 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,586 cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Detroit, among the units covered here, reported the highest number of daily cases at 51 on May 26, a decrease of 6 from the day prior. Wayne County’s numbers have been decreasing since May 21, reaching its lowest daily count of 21.

On May 28 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 4 for the State, which was equivalent to 406 new cases. The State’s May 28 per capita rate was a decline from the day prior. The City of Detroit’s rate also decreased. On May 28 Detroit reported a per capita rate of 8 new COVID cases per 100,000 people and on May 28 it reported a rate of 5. Detroit’s decreased rate was equivalent to 31 new cases. Wayne County reported 3 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 29 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 2 new case per 100,000 people on May 28, which was equivalent to 21 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 3, which was also equivalent to 28 new cases. Overall, 128 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 28. This is an increase of 1 from the day prior.

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 5,288 deaths, an increase of 30 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 28 was 5,372, an increase of 38 deaths from the day prior. Of those 38 deaths 17 were identified by reviewing death certificates and the COVID database and then tacked onto the daily total. Furthermore, of those 38 deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 20 of them.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to increase at a much slower rate, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,334 on May 26. Wayne County had the second highest total at 1,048 on May 26.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people on May 28, and for the first time in several days most of the per capita rates in Southeastern Michigan increased, but only minimally. The cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 201 (representing 1,351 deaths). In Wayne County there were 98 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,059 total deaths). In Oakland County there were 77 deaths per 100,000 people (971 total deaths) and in Macomb County there were 90 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (787 total). Oakland County had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 28; 10 COVID deaths were reported. Wayne County did not report any new deaths. The State of Michigan had 53  COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 5,372 total deaths.

Chart 9, the five day rolling average of deaths,  shows the number of new statewide deaths decreased by 5 from the day prior. On May 26 the State reported 30 COVID deaths. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan are overall continuing to decrease. Detroit reported 5 daily COVID deaths, which was a decrease of 5 from the day prior. This was also the highest number of new daily deaths reported in the region. On May 26, of the 30 new statewide deaths reported, 16 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan (based on the 5 day rolling averages).


On May 28 Detroit reported a fatality rate of 12.4 percent, which was the same as the day prior. The fatality rate in Macomb County again decreased to 11.9 percent from 12 percent, and the State continued to report a fatality rate of 9.6 percent for 10 days in a row.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

The State’s Chief Medical Executive said cases continue to decline in all regions of the State. This is something we have witnessed in Southeastern Michigan for the last seven weeks. Despite the decrease, Michigan continues to have the fourth highest number of cases in the Country, according to the New York Times.

New Michigan COVID Cases Increase by 500 on May 27

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 55,608 on May 27, an increase of 504 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 557 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 504 cases 127 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases Southeastern Michigan accounted for 25 percent of them. These numbers again show that majority of the new cases being reported in Michigan are coming from outside of Southeastern Michigan. In Chart 1 we show that the State total for number of COVID cases on May 25 was 54,927. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan continued to level off for the counties in the region. On May 25 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,752, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 9,89. On May 25, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,227, and Macomb County reported 6,517.

The City of Detroit had 1,616 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 27, an increase from 1,608 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 54 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,872. Wayne County reported 848 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 657 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 9,127 total cases for Wayne and for 6,558 Oakland. Macomb County reported 750 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 8,260 cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Detroit reported the highest number of daily cases at 57 on May 25, a increase of 5 from the day prior. While Detroit experienced a small increase the counties in the region either remained flat or experienced a small decrease. Wayne County’s numbers have been decreasing since May 21.

On May 27 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 5 for the State, which was equivalent to 504 new cases. While the State’s per capita rate increased, as did Macomb and Oakland counties’, Detroit’s decreased. The City of Detroit’s rate decreased from 14 new COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 26 to a rate of 8 on May 27. Detroit’s decreased rate was equivalent to 54 new cases. Wayne County reported 2 new COVID cases per 100,000 people for the fourth day in a row, which was equivalent to 19 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 2 new case per 100,000 people on May 27, which was equivalent to 20 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 3, which was also equivalent to 30 new cases. Overall, 127 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 27. This is a decrease of 13 from the day prior.


In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 5,258 deaths, an increase of 35deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 27 was 5,334, an increase of 68 deaths from the day prior. Of those 68 deaths 14 were identified by reviewing death certificates and the COVID database and then tacked onto the daily total. Furthermore, of those 68 deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 48 of them.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to increase at a much slower rate, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,329 on May 25. Wayne County had the second highest total at 1,044 on May 25.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people on May 27, and all the per capita rates in Southeastern Michigan remained the same for at least the third day in a row, showing that the number of new deaths are in fact stabilizing. The cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 197 (representing 1,347 deaths). In Wayne County there were 97 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,059 total deaths-no increase from the day prior). In Oakland County there were 76 deaths per 100,000 people (961 total deaths) and in Macomb County there were 89 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (784 total). Detroit had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 27; 21 COVID deaths were reported. The State of Michigan had 53  COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 55,608 total deaths. The per capita rate of 53 for the State was an increase of 1 from the day prior; this is the first time the rate increased in 5 days.

Chart 9, the five day rolling average of deaths,  shows the number of new statewide deaths increased by 8 from the day prior. On May 25 the State reported 35 COVID deaths. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan have experienced minimal increases in the last day or two. Detroit reported 10 daily COVID deaths, which was a small increase from the day prior. This was also the highest number of new daily deaths reported in the region. On May 25, of the 35 new deaths reported 18 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

On May 27 Detroit reported a fatality rate of 12.4 percent, which was a small increase from the day prior but a number the City has reported several times over the last week. The fatality rate in Macomb County again hit 12 percent, and the State continued to report a fatality rate of 9.6 percent for 9 days in a row.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

The number of new cases COVID cases reported in Michigan did nearly doubled on May 27 after a lull over the holiday weekend. However, 75 percent of those new cases came out of areas other than Southeastern Michigan. As the holiday weekend gets farther away we will see have to see if the daily COVID numbers continue to increase or decline, as we all hope.

Michigan COVID Cases Now Above 55,000

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 55,104 on May 26, an increase of 223 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 552 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 223 cases 141 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases Southeastern Michigan accounted for 70 percent of them. This is the first time in over a week where most of the new COVID cases were concentrated in Southeastern Michigan, as opposed to other areas of the State. In Chart 1 we show that the State total for number of COVID cases on May 24 was 54,588. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan continued to level off for the counties in the region, despite most of yesterday’s growth being concentrated in the region. On May 24 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,695, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 9,067. On May 24, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,201, and Macomb County reported 6,494.

The City of Detroit had 1,608 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 26, an increase from 1,595 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 91 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,818. Wayne County reported 846 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 655 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 9,108 total cases for Wayne and 8,240 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 747 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,528 cases. With the exception of Detroit, all other entities only experienced minimal increases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Detroit reported the highest number of daily cases at 52 on May 24, a increase of 6 from the day prior. While Detroit experienced a small increase the counties in the region either remained flat or experienced a small decrease.

On May 26 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 2 for the State. The per capita rate was equivalent to 223 new cases. While the State’s per capita rate remained the same, the City of Detroit’s increased from 4 new COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 25 to a rate of 14 on May 26. Detroit’s increased rate was equivalent to 91 new cases. Wayne County reported 2 new COVID cases per 100,000 people for the third day in a row, which was equivalent to 19 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 1 new case per 100,000 people on May 26, which was equivalent to 14 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 1, which was also equivalent to 12 new cases. Overall, 141 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 26. This is an increase of 61 from the day prior.

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 5,223 deaths, an increase of 27 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 26 was 5,266, an increase of 26 deaths from the day prior. Of those 26  additional deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 9 of them. While Southeastern Michigan accounted for most of the new cases on May 26, the region did not account for majority of the additional deaths in the State.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to increase at a much slower rate, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,319 on May 24. Wayne County had the second highest total at 1,037 on May 24.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people on May 26, and all the per capita rates in Southeastern Michigan and for the State remained the same as the previous day. For the entities in Southeastern Michigan this is the second or third day in a row the rates haven’t changed, showing that deaths are stabilizing and remaining at much lower numbers than a few weeks ago. The State of Michigan had 52 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 5,266 total deaths. The State has reported a per capita rate of 52 deaths for five days in a row now. The cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 197 (representing 1,326 deaths). In Wayne County there were 97 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,042 total deaths-no increase from the day prior). In Oakland County there were 76 deaths per 100,000 people (958 total deaths) and in Macomb County there were 89 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (779 total). Detroit had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 26; 4 COVID deaths were reported.

Chart 9, the five day rolling average of deaths,  shows the number of new statewide deaths decreased by 9  from the day prior. On May 24 the State reported 27 COVID deaths. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan have been either leveling off or decreasing. Detroit reported 6 daily COVID deaths, which was a decrease of 2 from the day prior, further confirming that the number of deaths, at least in areas of Southeastern Michigan, are continuing to decline. On May 24, of the 27 new deaths reported 16 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.


On May 26 Detroit reported a fatality rate of 12.2 percent, showing that while it is the highest rate in the region it has been maintaining at just above 12 percent since May 8. The fatality rate in Macomb County declined to 11.9 percent, and the State continued to report a fatality rate of 9.6 percent for 8 days in a row.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

We continue to see lower case numbers and death numbers in Southeastern Michigan than we have in weeks. And, while this is a sign of encouragement, it is also increasing residents’ call to open the State. Gov. Whitmer extended the Stay-at-Home Order through June 12 last week, acknowledging we are seeing signs of improvement, but that we are not out of the woods yet. As economic frustrations grow, we must also remember the value of good health, for ourselves and others.

Michigan’s COVID Case, Death Numbers Drop

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 54,881 on May 25, an increase of 202 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 550 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 202 cases 80 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases Southeastern Michigan accounted for 40 percent of them, highlighting how most of the new cases continue to occur outside of the region. Additionally, in recent days, the number of new daily cases statewide has been decreasing. The amount reported on May 25 was the lowest reported since March 22 (a lower number was reported on May 4 but the State had technically difficulties in reporting the data that day). The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan continued to level off for the counties in the region. The flattening of the COVID growth curves in Southeastern Michigan also further supports how the increase of COVID cases is slowing in the region, with cases outside the region continuing to make up majority of the new daily COVID cases. On May 23 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,643, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 9,041. On May 23, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,178, and Macomb County reported 6,472.

The City of Detroit had 1,595 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 25, an increase from 1,591 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 28 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,727. Wayne County reported 844 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 654 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 9,089 total cases for Wayne and 8,226 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 746 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,516 cases. All of these were minimal increases from the day prior.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Detroit reported the highest number of daily cases at 46 on May 23, a decrease of 10 from the day prior. Such decreases of new daily cases was mirrored throughout the region, showing how the overall of increase of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan is flattening and/or declining.

On May 25 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 2 for the State. The per capita rate was equivalent to 202 new cases, the lowest that has been reported in weeks. The City of Detroit was the only government entity in the region to report a higher per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people than the State. On May 25 Detroit reported a per capita rate of 4 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 28 new cases. Wayne County reported 2 new COVID cases per 100,000, which was equivalent to 17 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 1 new cases per 100,000 people on May 25, which was equivalent to 11 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 2, which was also equivalent to 17 new cases. Overall, 80 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 25. This is a decrease in the total number of daily COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan from the day prior.


In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 5,196 deaths, an increase of 36 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 25 was 5,240, an increase of 12 deaths from the day prior. Of those 12 additional deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 6 of them. The 12 deaths reported on May 25 is among the lowest daily count in the last two months.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to increase at a much slower rate in recent days, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,313 on May 22. Wayne County had the second highest total at 1,032 on May 22.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people on May 25, and all the per capita rates in Southeastern Michigan and for the State remained the same as the previous day. The State of Michigan had 52 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 5,240 total deaths. The State has reported a per capita rate of 52 deaths for four days in a row now. The cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 197 (representing 1,322 deaths). In Wayne County there were 97 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,042 total deaths). In Oakland County there were 76 deaths per 100,000 people (955 total deaths-an increase of 0 from the day prior) and in Macomb County there were 89 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (778 total-an increase of 0 from the day prior). Wayne County had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 25; 3 COVID deaths were reported. Detroit and St. Clair County were the only other entities in the region to report new deaths and those were reported at 2 and 1, respectively.

Chart 9, the five day rolling average of deaths,  shows the number of new statewide deaths decreased by 6 from the day prior. On May 23 the State reported 36 COVID deaths. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan have been either leveling off or decreasing. Detroit reported 8 daily COVID deaths, which was a decrease of 2 from the day prior, further confirming that the number of deaths, at least in areas of Southeastern Michigan, are continuing to decline. On May 23, of the 36 new deaths reported 24 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

On May 25 Detroit reported a fatality rate of 12.4 percent, showing that while it is the highest rate in the region it has been maintaining at just above 12 percent since May 8. The fatality rate in Macomb County remained at 12 percent, and the State continued to report a fatality rate of 9.6 percent for a week straight.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

On May 24 the lowest number of deaths (5) was reported since March 22 and on May 25 the lowest number of new cases was recorded (both excluding when the State had technical difficulties in uploading data on May 4). Such a low reports bring hope that the spread of the virus and the havoc it has wreaked on families across this State, country and world may be, at the very least, becoming more manageable. But, as the State slowly begins to open up we will see if the spread has truly slowed, which is dependent on people respecting orders such as wearing masks and social distancing.

COVID Case, Death Decline Doesn’t Mean We’re Out of the Woods Yet

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 53,913 on May 22, an increase of 403 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 540 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 403 cases 123 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases Southeastern Michigan accounted for 31 percent of them, highlighting how most of the new cases continue to occur outside of the region. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan continued to level off for the counties in region. The flattening of the COVID growth curves in Southeastern Michigan also further supports how the increase of COVID cases is slowing in the region, with cases outside the region now making up majority of the new daily COVID cases. On May 20 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,486, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 8,913. On May 20, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,100, and Macomb County reported 6,396.

The City of Detroit had 1,574 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 22, an increase from 1,570 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 29 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,587. Wayne County reported 837 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 647 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 9,015 total cases for Wayne and 8,131 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 737 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,445 cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Wayne County reported the highest number of daily cases at 60 on May 20, an increase of 2 daily cases from the day prior when it also had the highest number of daily cases. Though Wayne County increased,  this chart shows that daily case numbers throughout Southeastern Michigan continue to decline.

On May 22 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 4 for the State; this was equivalent to 403 new cases. The number of new cases the State reported on May 22 was a decrease from the day before for the second day in a row. Monroe County was the only government entity in the region to report a higher per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people than the State. On May 22 Monroe County reported a per capita rate of 9 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 13 new cases. Detroit reported the same per capita rate as the State at 4 new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people; this was equivalent to 29 new cases. Wayne County reported 3 new COVID cases per 100,000, which was equivalent to 35 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 0.4 new case per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 6 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 3, which was also equivalent to 25 new cases. Overall, 123 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 22. This is a decrease in the total number of daily COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan from the day prior. Wayne County (including Detroit data) had 64 new COVID cases on May 22 while Kent County had an increase of 86 new cases.

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 5,056 deaths, an increase of 53 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 22 was 5,158, an increase of 29 deaths from the day prior. Of those 29 additional deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 16 of them.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to flatten, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,282 on May 20. Wayne County had the second highest total at 1002 on May 20.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people on May 22, and only the per capita rates for the State and Monroe County increased, while the other per capita rates in Southeastern Michigan remained the same. The State of Michigan had 52 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 5,158 total deaths. In Monroe County the per capita rate rose to 12, which represents 19 total deaths. The cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 193 (representing 1,299 deaths). In Wayne County there were 95 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,024 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 75 deaths per 100,000 people (945 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 88 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (776 total). Wayne County had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 22; 6 COVID deaths were reported. No new deaths were reported in Livingston, Oakland and St. Clair counties.

Chart 9, the five day rolling average of deaths,  shows the number of new statewide deaths increased for the fourth day in a row. On May 20 the State reported 53 COVID deaths. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan, except in Wayne County, have been either leveling off or decreasing. In Wayne County reported that cumulative deaths were 1,002 deaths an increase of 13 from the day prior. On May 20, Wayne County had the highest number of daily COVID deaths in the region. Detroit reported 9 daily COVID deaths, which was an increase of one from the day prior, further confirming that the number of deaths, at least in areas of Southeastern Michigan, are remaining stable and much lower than in previous weeks. On May 20, of the 53 new deaths reported 37 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

On May 22 Detroit continued to report a fatality rate of 12.2 percent, showing while it is the highest rate in the region it has leveled off. The fatality rate in Macomb County remained at 12 percent, and the State continued to report a fatality rate of 9.6 percent.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

The data from May 22 shows that the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to decline, as do the number of new COVID cases. This is something Gov. Gretchen Whitmer also confirmed in her Friday press conference when she extended the Stay-at-Home order through June 12. She acknowledged the growth of new cases and deaths are on the decline, but said we, as a State, are “not out of the woods yet.”

Majority of Michigan COVID Deaths Reported Out of Southeastern Michigan

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 53,510 on May 21, an increase of 501 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 536 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 501 cases 155 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases Southeastern Michigan accounted for 31 percent of them, highlighting how most of the new cases continue to occur outside of the region. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. While the curve is smooth, Chart 1 shows that number of cases in Michigan continues to increase, largely due to new cases reported outside of Southeastern Michigan.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan continued to level off for the counties in region. The flattening of the COVID growth curves in Southeastern Michigan also further supports how the increase of COVID cases is slowing in the region, with cases outside the region now making up majority of the new daily COVID cases. On May 19 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,438, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 8,853. On May 19, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,083, and Macomb County reported 6,376.

The City of Detroit had 1,570 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 21, an increase from 1,561 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 59 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,558. Wayne County reported 834 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 646 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 8,980 total cases for Wayne and 8,125 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 735 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,420 cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Wayne County reported the highest number of daily cases at 58 on May 19, an increase of 2 daily cases from the day prior when it also had the highest number of daily cases. Overall, this chart shows that daily case numbers throughout Southeastern Michigan continues to decline, despite new daily COVID cases numbers at the State remaining above 500 total.

On May 21 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 5 for the State; this was equivalent to 501 new cases. The number of new cases the State reported on May 21 was a decrease from the day before, but new daily numbers have only dropped below 500 once in the last week. Detroit was the only government entity in the region to report a higher per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people than the State. On May 21 Detroit reported a per capita rate of 9 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 59 new cases. The number of daily cases in Detroit did decline from the day before. Wayne County reported 4 new COVID cases per 100,000, which was equivalent to 47 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 1 new case per 100,000 people on May 21, which was equivalent to 8 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 3, which was also equivalent to 28 new cases. Overall, 155 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 21. This is a decrease in the total number of daily COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan from the day prior, and it confirms that the majority of the new COVID cases are being reported outside of the region. Wayne County (including Detroit data) had a daily increase of 106 COVID cases on May 21 while Kent County had an increase of 109 new cases.

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 5,002 deaths, an increase of 50 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 21 was 5,129, an increase of 69 deaths from the day prior. Of those 69 additional deaths, 31 were added to the May 21 total as result of death certificates being compared to the COVID database. Additionally, of those 69 deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 53 of them.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to flatten, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,273 on May 19. Wayne County had the second highest total at 989 on May 19.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people and as of May 21, the cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 193 (representing 1,295 deaths). In Wayne County there were 95 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,018 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 75 deaths per 100,000 people (945 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 88 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (772total). The State of Michigan had 51 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 5,129 total deaths. Detroit had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 21; 15 COVID deaths were reported.

In Chart 9 we see that the number of daily statewide deaths increased for the third day in a row. On May 19 the State reported 50 COVID deaths. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan, except in Wayne County, have been either leveling off or decreasing. In Wayne County there was a reported 989 deaths, which was an increase of 12 from the day prior. On May 19, 12 COVID deaths were reported in Wayne County, making it the highest number of daily COVID deaths in the region. For the fifth day in a row Detroit reported 8 daily COVID deaths, further confirming that the number of deaths, at least in areas of Southeastern Michigan, are remaining stable and much lower than in previous weeks. On May 19, of the 69 new deaths reported 36 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

On May 21 Detroit continued to report a fatality rate of 12.2 percent, showing while it is the highest rate in the region it has leveled off. The fatality rate in Macomb County hit 12 percent for the fist time on May 21 and the State continued to report a fatality rate of 9.6 percent.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

While the majority of new daily COVID cases are now being reported outside of Southeastern Michigan, our region still makes up majority of the daily COVID deaths. These numbers have dropped significantly from a month ago, but they are still concerning. Southeastern Michigan does have the largest population in the State though, and is home to several areas that have been disproportionately affected due to population density and other socioeconomic reasons. 

COVID Cases Numbers in Michigan Growing Faster than those in Southeastern Michigan

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 53,009 on May 20, an increase of 659 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 530 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 659 cases 227 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. This means that of the new daily COVID cases Southeastern Michigan accounted for 34 percent of them, highlighting how now most of the new cases are occurring outside of the region. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. While the curve is smooth, Chart 1 shows that number of cases in Michigan continues to increase, and at higher rates in recent days due to varying factors. The total number of State cases increased by 1.13 percent yesterday, while they only increased by 0.8 percent the day before. Additionally, in Detroit cases increased by 0.8 percent and in Wayne County they increased by 0. 7percent on May 20, further showing that the overall number of cases in the state is growing faster than those regionally.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan has begun to level off for the counties in region. The flattening of the COVID growth curves in Southeastern Michigan also further supports how the increase of COVID cases is slowing in the region, despite the State experiencing a higher growth rate. On May 18 the number of cases in Detroit reached 10,392, the highest in the region, and Wayne County reported the second highest number of cases at 8,795. On May 18, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,062, and Macomb County reported 6,353.

The City of Detroit had 1,561 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 20, an increase from 1,549 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 82 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,499. Wayne County reported 830 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 645 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 8,933 total cases for Wayne and 8,117 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 731 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,392 cases. While the increase in daily case numbers has slowed in Southeastern Michigan overall, the number of new COVID cases in the region on May 20 was the highest it has been in about a week.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Wayne County reported the highest number of daily cases at 56 on May 18, a small increase from the day prior when it also had the highest number of daily cases. Overall, this chart shows that daily case numbers throughout Southeastern Michigan continues to decline, despite State numbers experiencing spikes in recent days, including yesterday.

On May 20 the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people was 6.6 for the State; this was equivalent to 659 new cases. The number of new cases the State reported on May 20 was an increase of an additional 224 COVID cases from the day before. Detroit was the only government entity in the region to report a higher per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people than the State. On May 20 Detroit reported a per capita rate of 12 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 82 new cases. Wayne County reported 5 new COVID cases per 100,000, which was equivalent to 58 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 3 new case per 100,000 people on May 20, which was equivalent to 39 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 3, which was also equivalent to 25 new cases. Overall, 227 new COVID cases were reported in Southeastern Michigan on May 20. This is an increase in the total number of daily COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan from the day prior, but still shows that majority of the new COVID cases are being reported outside of the region. Wayne County (including Detroit data) saw the largest increase in cases Wednesday (140), followed by Kent County (102), and Ottawa County (40).

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 4,952 deaths, an increase of 47 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 on May 20 was 5,060, an increase of 43 deaths from the day prior. Of those 43 additional deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 28 of them.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to level off, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,265 on May 18. Wayne County had the second highest total at 977 on May 18.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people, and the majority of governmental units did not show an increase from the day before. As of May 20, the cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 190 (representing 1,280 deaths). In Wayne County there were 93 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (1,004 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 74 deaths per 100,000 people (935 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 87 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (763 total). The State of Michigan had 51 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, which was equal to 5,060 total deaths. Macomb County had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 20; 20 COVID deaths were reported. Macomb and St. Clair counties were the only two counties in the region to experience a per capita rate increase.

In Chart 9 we see that the number of daily statewide deaths increased slightly to 47 on May 18; it was reported to be 46 the day prior. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan, except in Macomb County, have been either leveling off or decreasing. In Macomb County there was a reported 747 deaths, which was an increase of 7 from the day prior. On May 17, 5 COVID deaths were reported in Macomb County. Wayne County though reported the highest number of daily deaths at 10, the same number it reported the day prior. Detroit and Oakland County each reported 8 daily COVID deaths for the fourth day in a row.  This truly shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan are stabilizing at much lower levels than what they were reported at a month ago. On May 18, of the 47 new deaths reported 34 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

On May 20 Detroit continued to report a fatality rate of 12.2 percent, showing while it is the highest rate in the region it has leveled off. Macomb County has the second highest fatality rate in the region at 11.9 percent, and the State reported a fatality rate of 9.6 percent.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

As the daily case and death numbers in Southeastern Michigan decline and begin to stabilize, we must still be aware that case numbers are increasing in other areas of the State. Due to the nature of the virus, this means that a second wave of infection could easily be felt locally. However, in Southeastern Michigan the steps taken to prevent increased spread have been showing signs of working.

State’s Per Capita New COVID Case Rate Surpasses Detroit

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 51,915 on May 18, an increase of 773 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 520 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 773 cases the State reported, 513 were tacked onto the daily total as a result of increased testing in Michigan correctional facilities. Furthermore, of those 773 cases 94 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. While the curve is smooth, Chart 1 shows that number of cases in Michigan continues to increase, and at higher rates in recent days. However, as noted, at least part of the reason behind the increased rate of growth is due to increased testing, including in Michigan correctional facilities.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan did not increase as fast as Michigan as a whole. Even though the growth rate has declined in Southeastern Michigan the number of cumulative COVID cases remained the highest in Detroit, reaching 10,278 on May 16, with Wayne County following at a reported 8,685 cases. On May 16, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,012, and Macomb County reported 6,302.

The City of Detroit had 1,541 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 18, a small increase from 1,538 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 20 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,368. Wayne County reported 814 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 640 cases per 100,000 people (the same as it did the day prior). These per capita rates were based upon 8,760 total cases for Wayne and 8,050 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 726 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,357 cases. As noted earlier, the per capita rates for new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan did not increase much from the day prior because the majority of new COVID cases reported on May 18 came from Michigan correctional facilities.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 51,915 on May 18, an increase of 773 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 520 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). Of those 773 cases the State reported, 513 were tacked onto the daily total as a result of increased testing in Michigan correctional facilities. Furthermore, of those 773 cases 94 were documented in Southeastern Michigan. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. While the curve is smooth, Chart 1 shows that number of cases in Michigan continues to increase, and at higher rates in recent days. However, as noted, at least part of the reason behind the increased rate of growth is due to increased testing, including in Michigan correctional facilities.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the growth of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan did not increase as fast as Michigan as a whole. Even though the growth rate has declined in Southeastern Michigan the number of cumulative COVID cases remained the highest in Detroit, reaching 10,278 on May 16, with Wayne County following at a reported 8,685 cases. On May 16, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 8,012, and Macomb County reported 6,302.

The City of Detroit had 1,541 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 18, a small increase from 1,538 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 20 new COVID cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,368. Wayne County reported 814 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 640 cases per 100,000 people (the same as it did the day prior). These per capita rates were based upon 8,760 total cases for Wayne and 8,050 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 726 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,357 cases. As noted earlier, the per capita rates for new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan did not increase much from the day prior because the majority of new COVID cases reported on May 18 came from Michigan correctional facilities.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 4,860 deaths, an increase of 40 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 deaths reached 4,915 on May 18, an increase of 24 deaths from the day prior. Of those 24 additional deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 15 of them.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to level off, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,249 on May 16. Wayne County had the second highest total at 956 on May 16.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people, all of which remained the same for  the State, Detroit and the seven counties in Southeastern Michigan from May 17 to May 18. As of May 18, the cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 187 (representing 1,260 deaths). In Wayne County there were 89 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (966 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 73 deaths per 100,000 people (913 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 85 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (740 total). The State of Michigan had 49 COVID deaths per 100,000 people. Wayne County had the highest single day death count in Southeastern Michigan on May 18; 8 COVID deaths were reported.

In Chart 9 we see that the number of daily statewide deaths decreased slightly to 40 on May 16. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan has been decreasing, however the region still makes up majority of the deaths in the State. On May 16, of the 40 new deaths reported 29 were reported out of Southeastern Michigan. Detroit and Oakland County each reported 8 daily COVID deaths, both of which reported the same number of deaths the day prior. Both Oakland County and Detroit also reported the highest number of daily deaths on May 16, as they did the day before. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

The fatality rate chart below shows that the rates in Southeastern Michigan and across the State are starting to level off. On May 18 Detroit reported a fatality rate of 12.2 percent. Detroit has been reporting a fatality rate between 12-12.2 percent since May 10. The State reported a fatality rate of 9.5 percent; the last time this rate was reported was May 7.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

The number of average daily COVID deaths in Michigan continues to decline, but we once again saw a spike in the number of new COVID cases. These recent spikes in daily death numbers have been a result of increased testing and backlogged data in Michigan’s correctional facilities. Although this data comes from one specific sector it does leave the question as to how many cases have been underreported in Michigan.

Detroit Reports No New Deaths on May 17

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 51,142 on May 17, an increase of 638 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 512 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. While the curve is smooth, Chart 1 shows that number of cases in Michigan continues to increase, although the rates of increase over the last week have been higher than the week before.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the number of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan are also only gradually increasing. The number of cumulative COVID cases remained the highest in Detroit, reaching 10,208 on May 15, with Wayne County following at a reported 8,616 cases. On May 15, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 7,968, and Macomb County reported 6,258.

The City of Detroit had 1,538 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 17, a small increase from 1,535 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 21 new cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,348. Wayne County reported 810 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 640 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 8,717 total cases for Wayne and 8,043 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 726 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,345 cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Detroit reported the highest number of daily cases at 90 on May 15, only a small decrease from the day prior. Overall, this chart shows that daily case numbers are declining but in recent days those numbers have been higher than in the week prior.

Chart 5 highlights how the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people did drop significantly down for Detroit on May 17. On May 17 Detroit reported a per capita rate of 3 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was a decrease from the per capita rate of 14 reported the day prior. In total, Detroit reported 21 new COVID cases on May 17. Wayne County’s per capita rate was 3 new COVID cases, which was equivalent to 28 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 2 new cases per 100,000 people on May 17, which was equivalent to 20 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 5, which was also equivalent to 41 new cases.

The State’s per capita rate was 5 new cases per 100,000 people, equivalent to 638 new cases. Of these 638 new cases, Southeastern Michigan accounted for 122. This shows that Southeastern Michigan did not account for the majority of new cases in the State on May 17; the region didn’t even account for half of the new cases. 

Chart 4 shows that Detroit reported the highest number of daily cases at 90 on May 15, only a small decrease from the day prior. Overall, this chart shows that daily case numbers are declining but in recent days those numbers have been higher than in the week prior.

Chart 5 highlights how the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people did drop significantly down for Detroit on May 17. On May 17 Detroit reported a per capita rate of 3 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was a decrease from the per capita rate of 14 reported the day prior. In total, Detroit reported 21 new COVID cases on May 17. Wayne County’s per capita rate was 3 new COVID cases, which was equivalent to 28 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 2 new cases per 100,000 people on May 17, which was equivalent to 20 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 5, which was also equivalent to 41 new cases.

The State’s per capita rate was 5 new cases per 100,000 people, equivalent to 638 new cases. Of these 638 new cases, Southeastern Michigan accounted for 122. This shows that Southeastern Michigan did not account for the majority of new cases in the State on May 17; the region didn’t even account for half of the new cases. 

The fatality rates throughout Southeastern Michigan leveled off in recent days, with Detroit still reporting the highest rate at 12.2 percent on May 17. The State reported a 9.6 percent fatality rate.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

May 17 was the first time since March 24 that Detroit reported zero COVID deaths. However, since there is a delay in reporting some deaths may not have been reported, according to the State. Overall though, the data is showing that daily death numbers continue to decline in the State and we can only hope this trend continues.

Michigan COVID Cases Topple 50,000

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 50,079 on May 15, an increase of 497 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 501 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4). The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. While the curve is smooth, Chart 1 shows that number of cases in Michigan continues to increase, although that rate has been declining overall.

Chart 2 shows that, based on the five-day rolling averages, the number of new COVID cases in Southeastern Michigan are also only gradually increasing. The number of cumulative COVID cases remained the highest in Detroit, reaching just above 10,000 on May 13, with Wayne County following at a reported 8,479 cases. On May 13, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 7,861, and Macomb County reported 6,161.

The City of Detroit had 1,521 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 15, an increase from 1,511 the day before (Chart 3). This is based upon a reported increase of 66 new cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 10,230. Wayne County reported 804 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 636 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 8,652 total cases for Wayne and 7,994 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 718 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 6,274 cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State. Additionally, the case totals do not reflect the number of people who have recovered, just those who have been infected.

Chart 4 shows that Detroit reported the highest number of daily cases at 89 on May 13, only a small decrease from the day prior. Overall, this chart shows that daily case numbers are declining but the last two days those numbers have been higher than they were in the previous week. This is in part because the 5-day rolling average calculation used for this chart still reflects the spike in daily cases from two days ago.

Chart 5 highlights how the per capita rate for the number of new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people did drop down on May 15, following the May 14 spike. Those rates are now coming back inline with the per capita rates that have been reported for the last week. The per capita rate for Detroit on May 15 was 10 new COVID cases per 100,000 people; this was equivalent to 66 new cases. Wayne County’s per capita rate was 4 new COVID cases, which was equivalent to 46 new cases. Oakland County reported a per capita rate of 3 new cases per 100,000 people on May 15, which was equivalent to 42 new cases, and Macomb County reported a rate of 5, which was also equivalent to 42 new cases.

The State’s per capita rate was 5 new cases per 100,000 people, equivalent to 497 new cases. Of these 497 new cases, Southeastern Michigan accounted for 209. This shows that Southeastern Michigan did not account for the majority of new cases in the State on May 15. 

In Chart 6, the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths in Michigan shows a continuing slow increase (a lagged number of 4,717 deaths, an increase of 55 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 deaths reached 4,825 on May 15, an increase of 38 deaths from the day prior. Of those 38 additional deaths Southeastern Michigan accounted for 23 of them on May 15.

Chart 7 (a 5-day rolling average) portrays how the total number of COVID deaths in Southeastern Michigan continues to level off, with Detroit reporting the highest cumulative number of deaths at 1,220 on May 13. Wayne County had the second highest total at 935 on May 13.

Chart 8 portrays the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people. As of May 15, the cumulative total of COVID deaths per 100,000 people in Detroit was 184 (representing 1,236 deaths). In Wayne County there were 88 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (947 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 71 deaths per 100,000 people (888 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 83 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (728 total). Detroit reported the highest number of additional deaths at 8.

The State of Michigan had 48 COVID deaths per 100,000 people.

In Chart 9 we see that the number of daily statewide deaths increased slightly to 55 on May 13; 52 daily deaths were reported on May 12. Overall though, the number of daily deaths continues to decline both throughout the State and Southeastern Michigan. Chart 10 shows how the number of deaths in Southeastern Michigan decreased throughout the region, except in Oakland County. On May 13 Oakland County reported 11 daily COVID deaths, 2 more than the day prior. Both Oakland County and Detroit reported the highest number of daily deaths on May 13 at 11. These numbers are based on 5-day rolling averages.

The fatality rates remained stable for May 15, with Detroit continuing to have the highest rate at 12.2 percent. The State reported a 9.6 percent fatality rate.

One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the limited availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

On the other hand, there is the possibility that despite increasing numbers of tests, the case fatality rate might remain high. If so, this means COVID-19 is a very lethal disease. A recent New York Times article stated that the number of non-reported COVID deaths could be as many as 21,500 throughout the Country. The NYT estimates Michigan has among the highest number of unreported Covid-19 cases in the U.S.

The number of daily deaths continues to decline in Michigan and throughout Southeastern Michigan. While this is certainly positive news, the daily case numbers still have a long way to go before reaching the single digits. Recent daily case number increases have been related to data backlogs and increased testing. On May 13 the State performed the highest number of COVID tests in a single day yet. With more testing available we can better monitor those infected, allowing higher recovery rates, lower number of deaths and fewer opportunities for community spread.

Additionally, as noted yesterday, the decline in daily deaths may not be as accurate as suspected, meaning more COVID deaths have occurred than are accounted for.